Monday, August 3, 2009

PS 15-128: Methods and tools for evaluating ecological models: a survey

Tom Purucker, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, L.S. Matott, University of Waterloo, and J.E. Babendreier, US Environmental Protection Agency.

Background/Question/Methods

Ecologists are familiar with a variety of uncertainty techniques, particularly in the intersection of maximum likelihood parameter estimation and Monte Carlo analysis techniques, as well as a recent increase in Bayesian applications. This poster reviews evaluation concepts for integrated environmental modeling and surveys relevant software-based tools, some from areas of model evaluation and uncertainty analysis rarely visited by ecologists.

Results/Conclusions

A simplified taxonomy consisting of seven thematic model evaluation methods is used to present a software survey that identified 65 different model evaluation tools. These tools are accessible in the form of a companion web-site (http://www.epa.gov/athens/research/modeling/modelevaluation/index.html) containing download links for the identified tools. The survey also reviews strategies for tool interoperability and offers guidance for both ecological practitioners and tool developers.