Tuesday, August 5, 2008: 1:30 PM-5:00 PM
203 C, Midwest Airlines Center
COS 42 - Modeling II
1:30 PMSpread of sudden oak death: Application of stochastic epidemic modeling to realistic landscapes
Ross Meentemeyer, University of North Carolina, Charlotte, Nik J. Cunniffe, Unvirsity of Cambridge, Richard D. Hunter, University of North Carolina, Charlotte, Dave M. Rizzo, University of California, Davis, Alex R. Cook, Unvirsity of Cambridge, Christopher A. Gilligan, Unvirsity of Cambridge
1:50 PMAn epidemiological network model for avian influenza spread via peri-domestic wildlife
Susan A. Shriner, National Wildlife Research Center, Kristy Pabilonia, Colorado State University, Alan B. Franklin, National Wildlife Research Center
2:10 PMEstimating ecological trend: Which model should I use?
Brian Dennis, University of Idaho, Jean-Yves Humbert, ETH Zürich / Agroscope Reckenholz-Tänikon Research Station ART, L. Scott Mills, University of Montana, Jon S. Horne, University of Idaho
2:30 PMThe effect of seasonality, climate, and density on hantavirus dynamics in the deer mouse in Montana
Angela D. Luis, Penn State University, Richard J. Douglass, Montana Tech of the University of Montana, Ottar N. Bjornstad, Penn State University
2:50 PMPredicting the distribution of future population fluctuations
Vidar Grøtan, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Bernt-Erik Sæther, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Magnar Lillegård, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Steinar Engen, Norwegian University of Science and Technology
3:10 PMBreak
3:20 PMBridging the gap between structural equation models, ecological theory, and generalizations
James B. Grace, USGS, T. Michael Anderson, University of Groningen, Han Olff, University of Groningen, Samuel M. Scheiner, National Science Foundation
3:40 PMEstimating viability parameters for metapopulations using multivariate autoregressive models
Eli Holmes, Northwest Fisheries Science Center, Richard Hinrichsen, Hinrichsen Environmental Services
4:00 PMSimulating the potential effects of wildfire and forest management activities on Sierra Nevada fisher population size
Robert M. Scheller, Conservation Biology Institute, Alexandra Syphard, San Diego State University and Conservation Biology Institute, Wayne Spenser, Conservation Biology Institute, James Strittholt, Conservation Biology Institute, Heather Rustigan, Conservation Biology Institute
4:20 PMA new habitat selection model for gray wolves in Wisconsin after 30 years of recovery
Sarah D. Pratt, University of Wisconsin-Madison, David J. Mladenoff, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Murray K. Clayton, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Theodore A. Sickley, National Geographic Society, Adrian P. Wydeven, Wisconsin Department of Natural Resources
4:40 PMResource-ratio theory: Testing assumptions of proportionate consumption to predict competitive outcomes
Kenneth E. Leonard, University of Georgia, Mark A Bradford, University of Georgia

See more of Contributed Oral Papers

See more of The 93rd ESA Annual Meeting (August 3 -- August 8, 2008)