COS 112-8 - Modeling multiple ecosystem services and tradeoffs at landscape scales

Friday, August 8, 2008: 10:30 AM
104 C, Midwest Airlines Center
Erik J. Nelson1, Guillermo Mendoza2, Jim Regetz3, Steve Polasky4, Heather Tallis5, Dick Cameron6, Kai Ming A. Chan7, Gretchen Daily2, Joshua Goldstein8, Peter Kareiva9, Eric Lonsdorf10, Robin Naidoo11, Taylor Ricketts12 and M. Rebecca Shaw13, (1)Department of Economics, Bowdoin College, Brunswick, ME, (2)Natural Capital Project, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, (3)National Center for Ecological Analysis and Synthesis, University of California Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara, CA, (4)Department of Applied Economics and Department of Ecology, Evolution, and Behavior, University of Minnesota, St. Paul, MN, (5)Office of Chief Scientist, The Nature Conservancy, Arlington, VA, (6)The Nature Conservancy - California, (7)Institute for Resources, Environment and Sustainability, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada, (8)Central Science, The Nature Conservancy, Fort Collins, CO, Canada, (9)The Nature Conservancy, Arlington, VA, (10)Natural Capital Project, University of Minnesota, Saint Paul, MN, (11)Conservation Science Program, WWF-US, (12)The Rubenstein School of Environment and Natural Resources, University of Vermont, Burlington, VT, (13)Conservation Science, The Nature Conservancy, San Francisco, CA
Background/Question/Methods

In this paper we describe InVEST (Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Tradeoffs), a new spatially explicit modeling tool that predicts the consequences on land-use and land-cover (LULC) change on the production of multiple ecosystem services, biodiversity, and commodity production.  Unlike the benefits transfer approach, InVEST uses ecological production functions and economic valuation methods to make predictions.  We apply InVEST to three alternative scenarios of LULC change in the Willamette Basin, Oregon, USA.  We show how these different scenarios affect two hydrological service levels, soil conservation, the rates of terrestrial carbon sequestration, biodiversity, and market returns to landowners. 
Results/Conclusions

We find no evidence of significant tradeoffs among ecosystem services and biodiversity across scenarios.  The one tradeoff in the Basin is between market value, which is higher under the two scenarios that do not change development policies in the Basin, and all other ecosystem services and biodiversity, which are higher under the scenario that implements policies to more closely regulate development (the Conservation scenario).  However, we find that the economic value of the Conservation scenario is higher than the economic value of the other two scenarios when reasonable values for ecosystem services produced by the landscape are added to market value estimates.

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