Most earth system models used in climate-change assessments do not consider the influence of nitrogen availability on terrestrial carbon sequestration. We explore how nitrogen limitations on plant productivity affect feedbacks to the climate system using the MIT Integrated Global Systems Model (IGSM) with two different versions of its terrestrial ecosystems sub-model, the Terrestrial Ecosystems Model (TEM): one that considers carbon-nitrogen interactions (CN-TEM) and one that considers only carbon dynamics (C-TEM).
Results/Conclusions
Nitrogen constraints on CO2 fertilization simulated by the CN-TEM cause the uptake of atmospheric carbon dioxide by the terrestrial biosphere to be only 40% of that simulated by C-TEM, resulting in a larger increase in atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration and warmer temperatures for a given amount of anthropogenic carbon emitted. Furthermore, consideration of nitrogen-limited plant productivity also changes the sign of the carbon feedback with climate change. In the simulations with C-TEM, surface warming significantly reduces carbon sequestration in both vegetation and soil, leading to a positive carbon-cycle feedback to the climate system similar to that found by other earth system models. However, in simulations with CN-TEM, the increased decomposition of soil organic matter with higher temperatures releases soil nitrogen to stimulate plant growth and carbon storage in the vegetation that is greater than the carbon lost from soil. As a result, sequestration of carbon in terrestrial ecosystems increases, in comparison to the fixed climate case, and the carbon cycle feedback to the climate system becomes negative for much of the next three centuries. Consideration of nitrogen limitations on the terrestrial carbon cycle should be included in future assessments of climate-change impacts.
