Thursday, August 5, 2010: 1:30 PM-5:00 PM
412, David L Lawrence Convention Center
COS 103 - Modeling II
1:30 PMCOS 103-1Effects of virus infection and transgenic virus resistance on wild squash population dynamics
Holly R. Prendeville, University of Nebraska, Diana Pilson, University of Nebraska
1:50 PMCOS 103-2Projecting from the past to test the effects of informative priors on forecasts of population size and extinction risk made by Bayesian demographic models
Sydne Record, University of Massachusetts Amherst, Noah D. Charney, University of Massachusetts Amherst
2:10 PMCOS 103-3Effect of cyclones on coral reefs: A Bayesian model of community dynamics
Cheryl A. Knowland, University of Liverpool, Jason E. Tanner, SARDI Aquatic Sciences, Chris L. J. Frid, University of Liverpool, Matthew Spencer, University of Liverpool
2:30 PMCOS 103-4On how climate change tricks desert herbaceous perennials
Roberto Salguero-Gomez, The University of Pennsylvania, Brenda B. Casper, The University of Pennsylvania
2:50 PMCOS 103-5Finding localities for an endangered salamander using ecological niche models: A local versus global approach
Christopher A. Searcy, University of California - Davis, H. Bradley Shaffer, University of California - Davis
3:10 PM Break
3:20 PMCOS 103-6A Coupled Map Lattice approach to animal counts in the Mara-Serengeti ecosystem
Nina Bhola, University of Groningen, David Alonso, University of Groningen
3:40 PMCOS 103-7A mechanistic approach to modeling ant communities under warming regimes
Sharon A. Bewick, University of Tennessee, Katharine L. Stuble, University of Tennessee, Knoxville, TN, Jean-Philippe Lessard, University of Tennessee, Aaron M. Ellison, Harvard University, Nicholas J. Gotelli, University of Vermont, Nathan J. Sanders, University of Tennessee
4:00 PMCOS 103-8Modeling species distribution dynamics with SpatioTemporal Exploratory Models: Discovering patterns and processes of broad-scale avian migrations
Daniel Fink, Cornell University, Wesley M. Hochachka, Cornell University, Steve Kelling, Cornell Lab of Ornithology
4:20 PMCOS 103-9A mechanistic, individual-based approach to modeling complexity and dynamics of forest ecosystems across scales
Rupert Seidl, Oregon State University, Werner Rammer, University of Natural Resources and Applied Life Sciences (BOKU) Vienna, Robert M. Scheller, Portland State University, Thomas A. Spies, USDA Forest Service Pacific Northwest Research Station, Manfred J. Lexer, University of Natural Resources and Applied Life Sciences (BOKU) Vienna
4:40 PMCOS 103-10Stage structure variation in matrix population models and implications for transient dynamics
Martha M. Ellis, University of Montana

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See more of The 95th ESA Annual Meeting (August 1 -- 6, 2010)