OOS 16
Informing and Evaluating Climate Change Adaptation Approaches Using Historic Ecological Data Records

Wednesday, August 7, 2013: 8:00 AM-11:30 AM
101B, Minneapolis Convention Center
Anthony W. D'Amato
John B. Bradford
John B. Bradford
Climate change represents a substantial challenge for land managers and policy makers. Increasing variability in weather and changing disturbance regimes are important consequences of climate change, and this increased variability will have a large impact on ecosystem structure and function. Consequently, land managers are seeking strategies to create ecosystems that are capable of adapting to sustain ecosystem services under changing, and increasingly variable, environmental conditions. One approach to assessing this adaptive capacity is to use historical data, such as dendrochronological records or long-term population records, to examine the stability in ecosystem services in response to past fluctuations. In this session, we will explore the historic impact of ecosystem complexity on the stability of ecosystem services in several ecosystem types.
8:00 AM
 Long-term silviculture experiments impact stand-level weather sensitivity, resistance, and resilience
David A. McKenzie, University of Minnesota; Anthony W. D'Amato, University of Minnesota; Brian J. Palik, USDA Forest Service, Northern Research Station; Shawn Fraver, USDA Forest Service; John B. Bradford, US Geological Survey; John C. Brissette, Northern Research Station, USDA Forest Service
8:20 AM
 Characterizing the differential sensitivity of tree species and forest types to past weather variability using dendrochronological techniques
Jane R. Foster, University of Minnesota; Anthony W. D'Amato, University of Minnesota; John B. Bradford, US Geological Survey
8:40 AM
 The tradeoff of maximizing forest carbon storage and resiliency to disturbance: An assessment using long-term ponderosa pine density management growth data
Mike Battaglia, USFS Rocky Mountain Research Station; Lance Asherin, USFS Rocky Mountain Research Station; Russell T. Graham, USFS Rocky Mountain Research Station
9:00 AM
 Regional signatures of plant response to climate across North American deserts: Forecasts for management and planning
Seth M. Munson, USGS - Southwest Biological Science Center; Jayne Belnap, USGS; Robert H. Webb, USGS
9:20 AM
 Climate change insights from long-term soil-moisture data collected across a desert basin
Michael C. Duniway, US Geological Survey; H.C. Monger, New Mexico State University; Jeffrey E. Herrick, USDA Agricultural Research Service; John Anderson, New Mexico State University
9:40 AM
9:50 AM
 Can the past predict the future? Experimental tests of historically-based population models
Peter B. Adler, Utah State University; Kerry M. Byrne, Colorado State University; James Leiker, Sternberg Museum of Natural History
10:10 AM
 Using long-term datasets to examine effects of disturbance and climate change on ecosystem function in forested headwater streams
Sue L. Eggert, University of Georgia; J. Bruce Wallace, University of Georgia; Jackson R. Webster, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University; Judy L. Meyer, University of Georgia; Amy D. Rosemond, University of Georgia; Wyatt F. Cross, Montana State University; John M. Davis, University of Georgia
10:30 AM
 Historical demography along a climatic gradient: Generating predictions of population responses to climate change in the montane dioecious herb Valeriana edulis
William K. Petry, University of California at Irvine; Tom E. X. Miller, Rice University; Judith D. Soule, Rocky Mountain Biological Laboratory; Kailen A. Mooney, University of California at Irvine
10:50 AM
 Simulations of historic and future vegetation and fire dynamics in sub-alpine Tasmania, Australia, using FireBGCv2: Insights from aligning simulation results with historical proxy records
Gabriel I. Yospin, Montana State University; Robert E. Keane, USDA Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station; Cathy Whitlock, Montana State University
11:10 AM
 Restoring riverine resilience: Using historical ecology to reconstruct eco-geomorphic complexity on an intermittent river, lower Santa Clara River, Ventura County, CA
Erin E. Beller, San Francisco Estuary Institute; Robin M. Grossinger, San Francisco Estuary Institute; Micha N. Salomon, San Francisco Estuary Institute; Peter Downs, Plymouth University; Bruce K. Orr, Stillwater Sciences