COS 101
Modeling: Communities, Disturbance, Succession II

Thursday, August 14, 2014: 8:00 AM-11:30 AM
Carmel AB, Hyatt Regency Hotel
8:00 AM
 The effects of bark beetle outbreaks on forest carbon and composition under future climate projections in the Lake Tahoe Basin
Robert M. Scheller, Portland State University; Alec M. Kretchun, Portland State University; Louise Loudermilk, USDA Forest Service; Matthew D. Hurteau, Pennsylvania State University; Peter J. Weisberg, University of Nevada, Reno; Carl Skinner, US. Forest Service, Pacific SW Research Station
8:20 AM
 Impact of intense early 20th century fire activity on boreal forest composition in eastern Canada
Dinesh Babu Irulappa Pillai Vijayakumar, Laval University; Frédéric Raulier, Laval University; Pierre Bernier, Natural Resources Canada, Canadian Forest Service; Sylvie Gauthier, Natural Resources Canada, Canadian Forest Service; Yves Bergeron, Université du Québec en Abitibi-Témiscamingue, 445 boul. d; David Pothier, Laval University
8:40 AM
 Comparing predictions of aboveground woody biomass of PnET-II, LINKAGES v2.2, and ED2 with decadal field data at plot and landscape scales
Wenchi Jin, University of Missouri; Hong S. He, University of Missouri; Frank R. Thompson III, USDA Forest Service; Stephen R. Shifley, USDA Forest Service
9:40 AM
9:50 AM
 Vegetation changes during the late Quaternary: Predicting ability of community level models across time
Diego Nieto-Lugilde, Appalachian Lab. University of Maryland Center for Environmental Science; Matthew C. Fitzpatrick, University of Maryland Center for Environmental Science; Kaitlin Clare Maguire, University of California Merced; Jessica L. Blois, University of California - Merced; John W. Williams, University of Wisconsin-Madison
10:10 AM Cancelled
 Bayesian calibration of a physiological model infers multiple interactive causes of drought-induced mortality
Francesco Minunno, University of Helsinki; Maurizio Mencuccini, ICREA - CREAF and University of Edinburgh
10:30 AM
 Modelling the joint species distribution: Simultaneous predictions of current distributions of three sympatric conifer species in the Central Rocky Mountains
Paige E. Copenhaver, University of Wyoming; Daniel B. Tinker, University of Wyoming; Shannon E. Albeke, University of Wyoming; David M. Bell, USDA Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station
10:50 AM
 A Bayesian approach for calibrating tree mortality in a forest succession model
Nicolas Bircher, ETH Zurich; Maxime Cailleret, ETH Zurich; Florian Hartig, University of Freiburg; Harald Bugmann, ETH Zurich
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