COS 116
Climate Change: Ranges And Phenology I

Thursday, August 13, 2015: 1:30 PM-5:00 PM
303, Baltimore Convention Center
1:30 PM
 Recent synchronous horticultural escape and naturalization of Magnolia tripetala north of its native range will give tree species a ‘head start’ on climate change
Jesse Bellemare, Smith College; Claudia Deeg, Smith College; Dov F. Sax, Brown University; Regan Early, University of Exeter, Cornwall
1:50 PM
 Is the timing of bird migrations keeping up with climate change?
Stephen J. Mayor, University of Colorado; Robert P. Guralnick, University of Florida; Morgan W. Tingley, University of Connecticut; Javier Otegui, University of Colorado; John C. Withey, Florida International University; Sarah C. Elmendorf, National Ecological Observatory Network (NEON); Margaret E. Andrew, Murdoch University; Stefan Leyk, University of Colorado; Ian S. Pearse, Illinois Natural History Survey; David A.W. Miller, Pennsylvania State University; Katherine M. Thibault, National Ecological Observatory Network (NEON); David C. Schneider, Memorial University of Newfoundland
2:10 PM
 The last stand? Using tree-rings and downscaled climate models to predict future ponderosa pine growth and distribution near its southern range limit
Ian M. McCullough, University of California, Santa Barbara; Frank W. Davis, National Center for Ecological Analysis and Synthesis; Alan L. Flint, U.S. Geological Survey California Water Science Center; Lorraine E. Flint, U.S. Geological Survey California Water Science Center; John R. Dingman, U.S. Geological Survey California Water Science Center
2:30 PM
 Convergence and divergence of flowering times across the Arctic in response to warmer temperatures
Janet S. Prevéy, Swiss Federal Institute for Snow and Avalanche Research; Christian Rixen, Swiss Federal Institute for Snow and Avalanche Research; Mark Vellend, Université de Sherbrooke; Robert Hollister, Grand Valley State University; Greg Henry, University of British Columbia; Jeff Welker, University of Alaska Anchorage; Toke T. Hoye, Aarhus University; Ulf Molau, University of Gothenburg; Anne D. Bjorkman, German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research; Elisabeth Cooper, University of Tromsø; Bo Elberling, University of Copenhagen; Sarah C. Elmendorf, National Ecological Observatory Network (NEON); Anna Maria Fosaa, Faroese Museum of Natural History; Ingibjörg Svala Jónsdóttir, University of Iceland; Kari Klanderud, Norwegian University of Life Sciences; Esther Lévesque, Université du Québec à Trois-Rivières; Marguerite Mauritz, Northern Arizona University; Isla H. Myers-Smith, University of Edinburgh; Susan M. Natali, Woods Hole Research Center; Steven F. Oberbauer, Florida International University; Eric Post, Pennsylvania State University; Sabine Rumpf, University of Tromsø; Neils M. Schmidt, Aarhus University; Philipp Semenchuk, University of Tromsø; Tiffany G. Troxler, Florida International University; Sonja Wipf, Swiss Federal Institute for Snow and Avalanche Research
2:50 PM
 Shifts in climate niches for major tree genera in eastern US caused by historic land use and climate change
John W. Williams, University of Wisconsin-Madison; Simon J Goring, University of Wisconsin; Madeline Ruid, University of Wisconsin-Madison; Charles V. Cogbill, Plainfield, VT; Michael Dietze, Boston University; Stephen T. Jackson, U.S. Geological Survey; Jason S. McLachlan, University of Notre Dame; David Mladenoff, University of Wisconsin-Madison; Christopher J. Paciorek, University of California, Berkeley; Sydne Record, Harvard University
3:10 PM
3:20 PM
 Consequences of shifts in the mean and variation in prey phenology for predator-prey interactions
Nick L Rasmussen, University of California-Davis; Volker H. W. Rudolf, Rice University
3:40 PM
 Shifting habitat causes niche offsets and range asymmetries in experimental populations
Brett A. Melbourne, University of Colorado at Boulder; Alan Hastings, University of California, Davis
4:00 PM
 Long-term climate impacts on avian reproductive phenology in Pennsylvania
Molly E. McDermott, Carnegie Museum of Natural History; Lucas W. DeGroote, Carnegie Museum of Natural History
4:20 PM
 Potential effects of climate warming on two species of mountaintop endemic salamanders
David Marsh, Washington & Lee University; Kara Farroni, Washington & Lee University; Kate McCreary, Washington & Lee University
4:40 PM
 Single measures of phenology do not accurately predict phenological shifts
Shannon K. Carter, Rice University; Volker H.W. Rudolf, Rice University
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