IGN 11-1 - Vegetation disturbance regimes and climate change in the NWFP area

Tuesday, August 8, 2017
C123, Oregon Convention Center
Matthew J. Reilly, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR, Thomas A. Spies, USDA Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station, Corvallis, OR, Jeremy S. Littell, Alaska Climate Science Center, USGS, Anchorage, AK, Ramona Butz, Six Rivers, Klamath, Mendocino, and Shasta-Trinity National Forests, Eureka, CA and John Kim, Corvallis Forestry Sciences Laboratory, USDA Forest Service Pacific Northwest Research Station, Corvallis, OR
Climate change is expected to alter forested ecosystems in the Northwest Forest Plan Area. Increases in temperature across the region during the 20th century have generally exceeded global averages. Climate change models project a warmer and potentially wetter future with more precipitation falling as rain in the winter and drier summers across most of the region. Projected increases in soil water deficit are expected to decrease growth and increase disturbance frequency (e.g. fire, insects, pathogens). Understanding how climate change projections and potential effects vary within the region will be essential in developing strategies for adaptation and mitigation.