Jennifer A. Lau1, Ruth G. Shaw2, Peter B. Reich, and Peter Tiffin2. (1) Michigan State University, (2) University of Minnesota
Global changes, such as elevated CO2 (eCO2), have strong ecological effects on communities. Because of these strong ecological impacts, selective regimes may be altered, and populations also may evolve in response to these changing environmental conditions. Previous work demonstrated that eCO2 only slightly influenced the evolution of an experimental Arabidopsis thaliana population and that patterns of natural selection, the expression of genetic variation, and the genetic covariances between traits corresponded closely in ambient and eCO2 treatments. Here we examined potential evolutionary effects of eCO2 in more complex environments. First, we investigated how eCO2 alters the fitness effects of competition and herbivory. Then, we explored how the expression of genetic variation and/or patterns of natural selection depend on herbivory or the presence and identity of competitors in both ambient and eCO2 treatments. Our hypothesis was that while eCO2 may have minimal direct impacts on plant evolution, it may have strong indirect effects by altering interactions with competitors and herbivores. We found that eCO2 affected components of plant evolution when additional interacting species were present and that these effects likely resulted because eCO2 altered the intensity of the interaction. The magnitude of this indirect eCO2 effect, however, was small relative to the direct effects of competition or herbivory. Our results, therefore, suggest that while eCO2 will have large effects on plant ecology, impacts on the evolutionary trajectories of plant populations will be weak and primarily mediated by biotic interactions.