Southern
pine beetle (Dendroctonus frontalis) populations exhibit extreme
fluctuations and are arguably the greatest biotic disturbance in U.S. forests. When D. frontalis
populations are rare, beetles are so difficult to find that it may be arguable
that they are locally extinct. It is
puzzling to consider how populations move from being very rare, to extremely
abundant. We present data showing a
bi-modal population abundance distribution, suggesting both a regulated,
endemic population state for D. frontalis, as well as the outbreak
state. We test a multiple equilibria model for this system, with a regulating
mechanism based on competition with Ips
beetles and predation. In pairs of
lightning-struck trees (host material for rare D. frontalis) we test the
hypothesis that competition and predation on trees baited with frontalin
(aggregation pheromone of D. frontalis) would be higher than on trees
with no pheromone. On frontalin-baited trees, competitors were somewhat more
abundant, and predators were significantly more abundant. The small increase in the number of
competitors translated into a significant increase in use of host resources,
suggesting that both predation and competition are stronger in these trees. Additionally, we did field assays with different
dosage levels of frontalin, mimicking different population levels of D.
frontalis, and found that Ips beetles have no behavioral response to
pure frontalin, but that the specialist predator, Thanasimus dubious
does show a positive numeric response. These tests support our multiple
equilibrium model, and provide evidence for a mechanism for D. frontalis
populations to move between two alternative stable states.