Wednesday, August 8, 2007: 8:00 AM-11:30 AM
San Carlos I, San Jose Hilton
COS 72 - Modeling ecosystem dynamics and climate change
8:00 AMCOS 72-1Modeling late-glacial no-analog climates with expanded response surfaces
Leila M. Zajac, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Jack W. Williams, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Rick Nordheim, University of Wisconsin-Madison
8:20 AMCOS 72-2Contextual interactions can increase unexplained random variability in ecosystem-level studies
Corrie A. Blodgett, University of Vermont, Deane Wang, University of Vermont, Carl E Waite, University of Vermont, Gary J Hawley, University of Vermont, Donald D DeHayes, University of Vermont, Jeffrey W Hughes, University of Vermont
8:40 AMCOS 72-3Selection of water quality variables for nutrient criteria using structural equation modeling
Melissa A. Kenney, Duke University, Kenneth H. Reckhow, Duke University
9:00 AMCOS 72-4Data assimilation of eddy flux measurements coupled with an ecosystem process model to generate optimized predictions of carbon and water exchange in a high elevation coniferous forest
David J.P. Moore, CIRES and National Center for Atmospheric Research, Jia Hu, University of Colorado Boulder, Russell K. Monson, University of Colorado Boulder, David S. Schimel, National Ecological Observatory Network
9:20 AMCOS 72-5 The role of landscape-scale edaphic variation in forecasting regional-scale forest ecosystem dynamics
Michael C. Dietze, Harvard University, Paul Moorcroft, Harvard University
9:40 AM Break
9:50 AMCOS 72-6A climate change vulnerability assessment for biodiversity in the southwestern US
Carolyn A.F. Enquist, The Nature Conservancy
10:10 AMCOS 72-7Potential impacts of climate change on European mammals
Irina Levinsky, Institute of Biology, University of Copenhagen, Flemming Skov, National Environmental Research Institute, University of Aarhus, Jens-Christian Svenning, University of Aarhus, Carsten Rahbek, Institute of Biology, University of Copenhagen

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