Thursday, August 6, 2009: 1:30 PM-5:00 PM
Santa Ana, Albuquerque Convention Center
COS 104 - Disease and Epidemiology: Modeling
1:30 PMCOS 104-1Wolf network structure affects disease dynamics in Yellowstone
Gregg Hartvigsen, State University of New York College at Geneseo
1:50 PMCOS 104-2Cholera epidemics and forest fires as critical phenomena
Richard D. Zinck, UFZ, Helmholtz Centre for Ecological Research - UFZ, Mercedes Pascual, University of Michigan AND Howard Hughes Medical Institute, Volker Grimm, UFZ, Helmholtz Centre for Ecological Research - UFZ, Menno J. Bouma, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, University of London
2:10 PMCOS 104-3An age structured model for Sin Nombre hantavirus
Angela D. Luis, Penn State University, Ottar N. Bjornstad, Penn State University
2:30 PMCOS 104-4A stage-structured model for spread of pathogens into naive populations
Michael F. Antolin, Colorado State University, Stu Field, Colorado State University, Jennifer Klutsch, Rocky Mountain Research Station, Anna W. Schoettle, Rocky Mountain Research Station, Simon J. Tavener, Colorado State University
2:50 PMCOS 104-5Mathematical model for infection of juvenile salmon with trematodes
Masami Fujiwara, Texas A&M University, Aaron Greenberg, National Marine Fisheries Service
3:10 PM Break
3:20 PMCOS 104-6Measles dynamics on a seasonal and population gradient: implications for vaccination programs in Niger
Matthew J. Ferrari, The Pennsylvania State University, Nita Bharti, Penn State University, Ali Djibo, Ministry of Health, Rebecca F. Grais, Medecis Sans Frontieres, Bryan T. Grenfell, Penn State University, Ottar N. Bjornstad, Penn State University
3:40 PMCOS 104-7Models with natural immune-boosting help explain pertussis dynamics and changes in age-specific incidence during the vaccination era
Jennie S. Lavine, The Pennsylvania State University, Aaron King, University of Michigan, Sourya Shrestha, University of Michigan, Ottar N. Bjørnstad, Penn State University
4:00 PMCOS 104-8Optimizing reactive responses to outbreaks of immunizing infections: Case management vs vaccination
Petra Klepac, Pennsylvania State University, Ottar Bjornstad, Pennsylvania State University, Rebecca F. Grais, Medecis Sans Frontieres, Bryan Grenfell, Pennsylvania State University
4:20 PMCOS 104-9Estimating the duration of pertussis immunity using epidemiological signatures
Helen J. Wearing, University of New Mexico, Pejman Rohani, University of Georgia
4:40 PMCOS 104-10Maintaining pathogens with short infectivity in seasonally structured tick populations: Relative importance of three transmission pathways
Etsuko Nonaka, University of New Mexico, Gregory D. Ebel, University of New Mexico School of Medicine, Helen J. Wearing, University of New Mexico

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See more of The 94th ESA Annual Meeting (August 2 -- 7, 2009)