Monday, August 2, 2010: 1:30 PM-5:00 PM
306-307, David L Lawrence Convention Center
OOS 4 - Modeling and Managing Forest Impacts from Climate Change: An Integrated Landscape Approach
OBJECTIVES 1) to present a case study of a focused, multi-institutional effort to address ecosystem response to climate change through applied landscape scale conservation in a National Forest and in Northern Wisconsin, and 2) to engage discussion about the available science, needed science, practical considerations, and social considerations in adapting ecosystems to climate change at large scales. BACKGROUND Global climate is warming and will continue to do so, although the regional distribution and extent of future temperature and precipitation changes are uncertain. This concept of uncertain but changing climate, with the attendant range of ecosystem responses to changing climate, will need to be incorporated into current management decisions. Many of these decisions will affect ecosystem trajectories for decades to come and are not quickly or easily altered. There is thus a clear and pressing need to begin integrating considerations of ecosystem response to climate change into ecosystem management decisions and planning, and these considerations should include the best available science. The Chequamegon-Nicolet National Forest (CNNF), located in northern Wisconsin, has been designated as a “Climate Change Model Forest for Landscape Management”. As a model, the CNNF will foster exceptional collaboration among scientists, managers, other landowners, and the general public to most effectively address climate change adaptation at the landscape scale. Further, the lessons learned from these scientific, management, and social activities will be widely distributed to the public and applied in other landscapes. DESCRIPTION The proposed session will describe the model forest project as a whole and then delve deeper into individual components, such as practical considerations and needs when incorporating ecological science into management in an actively managed forest, challenges to simulating habitat and species changes during climate change and at different scales, exploring silvicultural choices in adapting to climate change, and the potential of regional forests to sequester carbon. The final presentation will expand on the preceding concepts to discuss the expansion of the “model” to larger areas through collaborative landscape scale conservation. These presentations will follow a case study approach by describing activities and results at a specific project and place, but using the description to engage discussion of broader concepts.
Organizer:Louis Iverson, Northern Research Station, USDA Forest Service
Co-organizer:Christopher W. Swanston, US Forest Service, Northern Research Station
Moderator:Louis Iverson, Northern Research Station, USDA Forest Service
1:30 PMOOS 4-1The Model Forest Project
Maria K. Janowiak, Northern Institute of Applied Carbon Science, Christopher W. Swanston, USDA Forest Service
1:50 PMOOS 4-2A living laboratory:  Responding to climate change on the Chequamegon-Nicolet
Linda R. Parker, Chequamegon-Nicolet National Forest, Matthew St. Pierre, Chequamegon-Nicolet National Forest
2:10 PMOOS 4-3Assessing potential species distributions under future climates using a multi-stage modelling approach
Anantha Prasad, Northern Research Station, USDA Forest Service, Louis Iverson, Northern Research Station, USDA Forest Service, Stephen N. Matthews, Northern Research Station, USDA Forest Service, Matthew Peters, Northern Research Station, USDA Forest Service
2:30 PMOOS 4-4Extending species models with a management focus in northern Wisconsin
Stephen N. Matthews, Northern Research Station, USDA Forest Service, Louis Iverson, Northern Research Station, USDA Forest Service, Anantha Prasad, Northern Research Station, USDA Forest Service, Matthew Peters, Northern Research Station, USDA Forest Service
2:50 PMOOS 4-5Silvicultural choices in combating climate change
Susan Stout, USDA Forest Service
3:10 PM Break
3:20 PMOOS 4-6Using LANDIS-II to model potential forest change in northern Wisconsin
David J. Mladenoff, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Robert M. Scheller, Portland State University, Weimin Xi, Texas A&M University
3:40 PMOOS 4-7Greenhouse gas mitigation potential for public and private lands of Northern Wisconsin
Richard Birdsey, Forest Service, Yude Pan, Forest Service, Susan I. Stewart, USDA Forest Service, Sarah Hines, Forest Service, Maria Janowiak, Northern Isntitute of Applied Carbon Science, Linda R. Parker, U. S. Forest Service, Christopher W. Swanston, US Forest Service, Northern Research Station, David J. Mladenoff, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Jeremy Lichstein, Princeton University, Craig Wayson, Forest Service, Kevin McCullough, Forest Service
4:00 PMOOS 4-8Landscape scale conservation: Expanding the model forest to the model region
Christopher W. Swanston, USDA Forest Service
4:20 PMOOS 4-9Climate change and forest dynamics in the Rocky Mountains
Patrick H. Martin, Colorado State University, John Murgel, Colorado State University
4:40 PMOOS 4-10Applying science to climate change adaptation and mitigation in forests of northern Wisconsin
Leslie Brandt, USDA Forest Service, Christopher W. Swanston, US Forest Service, Northern Research Station, Maria Janowiak, Northern Isntitute of Applied Carbon Science, Linda R. Parker, U. S. Forest Service, Richard Birdsey, Forest Service, Louis Iverson, Northern Research Station, USDA Forest Service, David J. Mladenoff, University of Wisconsin-Madison

See more of Organized Oral Session

See more of The 95th ESA Annual Meeting (August 1 -- 6, 2010)