COS 14
Modeling: Communities, Disturbance, Succession

Monday, August 5, 2013: 1:30 PM-5:00 PM
L100E, Minneapolis Convention Center
1:30 PM
 Reconstructing past human populations: archaeological data and uncertainty
Colby J. Tanner, Utah State University; Herbert Maschner, Idaho State University; Nancy J. Huntly, Utah State University
1:50 PM
 Scaling Aspen-FACE experimental results to century and landscape scales
Eric J. Gustafson, U.S. Forest Service; Mark E. Kubiske, Northern Research Station, USDA Forest Service; Brian R. Sturtevant, U.S. Forest Service; Brian R. Miranda, U.S. Forest Service
2:10 PM
 Designing effective reserve networks for non-equilibrium metacommunities
Tarik C. Gouhier, Northeastern University; Frédéric Guichard, McGill University; Bruce A. Menge, Oregon State University
3:00 PM Cancelled
 Evaluating effects of forest harvesting on mitigating oak decline on a Central Hardwood Forest landscape
Wen J. Wang, University of Missouri; Hong S. He, University of Missouri; Martin A. Spetich, USDA Forest Service; Stephen R. Shifley, USDA Forest Service; Frank R. Thompson III, USDA Forest Service; Jacob S. Fraser, University of Missouri
2:50 PM
3:20 PM
 Minimum dimensions required for co-occurrence and limiting similarity null models
T. Michael (Mike) Lavender, University Of Saskatchewab; Eric G. Lamb, University of Saskatchewan; Brandon S. Schamp, Algoma University
3:40 PM
 Prescient thinking and the future of ecosystem services in New England
Eben North Broadbent, Smithsonian Conservation Biology Institute; Angelica Maria Almeyda Zambrano, Smithsonian Conservation Biology Institute; Meghan J. Blumstein, Smithsonian Conservation Biology Institute; Evelyn Strombom, Smithsonian Conservation Biology Institute; Kathleen Fallon Lambert, Harvard Forest (Harvard University); Jonathan R. Thompson, Harvard University
4:00 PM
 A Bayesian belief network assessment of vegetation succession and spatial dynamics in response to fire and hydrological conditions in the Okefenokee National Wildlife Refuge, Georgia, USA
Margaret Q. Guyette, University of Wisconsin; Cynthia S. Loftin, U.S. Geological Survey, Maine Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research Unit
4:20 PM
 Designing a fire module for LANDIS PRO to simulate variable intensity fire regimes on forest landscapes
Jacob S. Fraser, University of Missouri; Hong S. He, University of Missouri; Jian Yang, University of Nevada-Reno; Stephen R. Shifley, USDA Forest Service; Frank R. Thompson III, USDA Forest Service
4:40 PM
 Modeling the effects of fire disturbance and warming climate on vegetation and carbon dynamics in the arctic tundra ecosystem
Yueyang Jiang, Marine Biological Laboratory; Edward B. Rastetter, Marine Biological Lab; Adrian Rocha, University of Notre Dame; Andrea Pearce, University of Vermont; Gaius Shaver, Marine Biological Laboratory