Selection of conservation areas under severe uncertainty of population dynamics in future
Results/Conclusions Our analysis recommended that southern regions of Chiba prefecture should be more protected when we incorporated uncertainty of population size and trend of changing rate of population size. This result highlights the importance of dealing with uncertainty properly to select conservation areas effectively. We also clarified that the optimal conservation areas depend on management goals on the number of extant endangered species. Our model enables us to select conservation areas even if we do not know the degree of uncertainty of population dynamics in future.