OOS 50
Causes and Consequences of Non-Equilibrium Dynamics in a Changing World
Friday, August 15, 2014: 8:00 AM-11:30 AM
304/305, Sacramento Convention Center
Organizer:
Tarik C. Gouhier, Northeastern University
Co-organizers:
Emily Klein, Princeton University;
Flora Cordoleani, NOAA; and
Pradeep Pillai, Northeastern Unviversity
Moderator:
Emily Klein, Princeton University
Determining the relative influence of ecological and environmental processes on the dynamics and persistence of ecological systems is critically important, particularly in an era of global climate change. Despite the ubiquity of complex, non-equilibrium dynamics in natural systems, most theory to date has relied on equilibrium and linear approaches to both predict and manage ecological patterns and human use. This session will demonstrate how bridging the gap between equilibrium theory and non-equilibrium reality can foster a better understanding of the natural world and improve our stewardship of its invaluable resources. The talks will broadly address the causes and consequences of non-equilibrium and nonlinear dynamics across scales, and their implications for the management of interconnected and exploited ecosystems experiencing environmental change.
8:20 AM
Detecting causality in complex ecosystems
George Sugihara, UC San Diego;
Irit Altman, University of New Hampshire;
Les Kaufman, Boston University;
Andrew Rosenberg, University of New Hampshire and Conservation International;
Emily Klein, Princeton University;
Robert M. May, Oxford University;
Michael J. Fogarty, NOAA NMFS Northeast Fisheries Science Center;
Stephan B. Munch, National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration;
Ethan Deyle, UC San Diego;
Chih-hao Hsieh, National Taiwan University;
Sarah Glaser, University of Denver;
Charles Perretti, UC San Diego;
Hao Ye, UC San Diego
9:00 AM
Environmental forcing of stable age-structured populations with compensatory density dependent recruitment
Louis W. Botsford, University of California, Davis;
J. Wilson White, University of North Carolina, Wilmington;
Flora Cordoleani, NOAA;
Alan Hastings, University of California, Davis;
Lauren Yamane, UC Davis;
D. Patrick Kilduff, University of California, Davis
9:50 AM
Accounting for non-equilibrium transient dynamics in the design and assessment of marine reserves
J. Wilson White, University of North Carolina, Wilmington;
Kerry J. Nickols, Stanford University;
Louis W. Botsford, University of California, Davis;
Flora Cordoleani, NOAA;
Mark H. Carr, University of California, Santa Cruz, CA;
Daniel Malone, University of California, Santa Cruz;
Marissa L. Baskett, University of California, Davis;
Alan Hastings, University of California, Davis
